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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 165 (some duplicates have been removed)
. now if it goes up again, if it's 8.2 then, i think it's a big problem for obama. >> ohio. the ever important state. there is an ad that says that obama's chrysler deal undermines u.s. workers. gm's ceo came out and said that the latest romney ad is politics at its worst this, is going to play out before voters in ohio. your thoughts on this? >> i was in ohio yesterday. ways in hamilton county, cincinnati then over in lebanon, and then, over in delaware county. goit a good taste of southwestern ohio. last time, obama carried ohio. it is rob portman's base. they're very, very proud of them. republicans told me they believe they're going to carry hamilton county maybe by 23,000 votes. that would be a swing of 50,000 votes by itself that would guarantee carrying ohio. people in lebanon and warren county very republican. tremendously enthusiastic. they're going to vote bigger than they voted last time for mccain. in delaware county it was a very rural area we were in. i couldn't find any obama voters. obama is going to be competitive. he's going to have cleveland and areas around dayton
's 8.2 then, i think it's a big problem for obama. >> ohio. the ever important state. there is an ad that says that obama's chrysler deal undermines u.s. workers. gm's ceo came out and said that the latest romney ad is politics at its worst this, is going to play out before voters in ohio. your thoughts on this? >> i was in ohio yesterday. ways in hamilton county, cincinnati then over in lebanon, and then, over in delaware county. goit a good taste of southwestern ohio. last time, obama carried ohio. it is rob portman's base. they're very, very proud of them. republicans told me they believe they're going to carry hamilton county maybe by 23,000 votes. that would be a swing of 50,000 votes by itself that would guarantee carrying ohio. people in lebanon and warren county very republican. tremendously enthusiastic. they're going to vote bigger than they voted last time for mccain. in delaware county it was a very rural area we were in. i couldn't find any obama voters. obama is going to be competitive. he's going to have cleveland and areas around dayton. i think ohio probably going to
the popular vote by one point and obama wins ohio and iowa by one point that is possible, maybe a one or two-point shift but there is almost no way to look at the history of this country or try to do the more complex things, the mathematical models unlikely to have romney win the popular and have him lose the electorial college. >> rose: the sites and sounds of hurricane sandy, mark halperin and nate silver when we continue. funding for charlie rose was provided by the following. additional funding provided by these funders. and by bloomberg, a provider of multimedia news and information services worldwide. captioning sponsored by rose communications from our studios in new york city, this is charlie rose. >> hurricane sandy barreled through the northeast last night, the devastating impact was wide-ranging, cities and towns were hammered by the storm that left many without power and other vital resources. here are some of the sights and sound of the storm as scene on cbs this morning. we knew this was going to be a very dangerous storm and the storm has met our expectations. >> it is underas
, obama is ahead in most polls of ohio he is ahead in most polls of iowa, wisconsin, and nevada as well and those four states. >> rose: by two or three points. >> two or three-point not an overwhelming margin but you can look historically and how often does a candidate who has a two or three-point lead in an election, does he how often does he convert that to a win and the answer is about 75 percent of the time. >> rose: so you said 75 percent likely obama will be elected? >> that's right because the states are what we call the tipping point states that would swing the electorial college margin he has a two or three-point lead, so it is not for sure but we can use statistics and data that just look up how often those lead translate into a win. > > rose: zero so is critical point here is that many people say paul, david brooks wrote a column. >> sure. >> as you know basically saying a poll is a paragraph of a moment in time. >> right. >> rose: period. >> uh-huh. >> rose: no prophecy from that. >> my understanding, what you say is, yes, no prophecy, but you can look and reference it to ot
, but -- >> then why a are polls all over the place? not every poll has obama winning in ohio. >> first if you look at the whole group of polls we have a two-point romney lead to a five or six-point obama lead, the average is going to do better a than any one poll individual think, polling is difficult now, because you can only get about ten percent of people on the money, polls are hoping that those people who they do get are representative of the ones whom they don't get, different views about who will turn out and who won't, about the, differ on the democrat grafnls and statistical uncertainty as well. >> depending on the model the poll uses will affect the result. >> a different hype these almost. >> .. if you assume a more vigorous turnout because obama has good ground game for example those have him winning, no more at that like opportunity thousand ten environment where republican enthusiasm prevail they have a very tight in ohio instead. >> rose: okay. but do you say when you look at all of these polls, i have noted you are a statistician, you noted in the polling you measure other polls? >
, swing states and ohio, romney colorado. give obama ohio and new hampshire. i think the point i want to make about this map is a broader one and it's a criticism and an expression of bafflement about the romney campaign strategy. if you look at that map, to win to get to 270, they have to win virginia, florida, north carolina. got to win colorado. putting that together, pick off ohio or some combination of wisconsin and plus new hampshire, iowa, nevada. a combination there and the polls out of ohio and wisconsin, not looking good for romney. to me the issue is this. there are states on the map that could have been competitive. oregon, michigan, minnesota, pennsylvania and even maybe where obama had big margins in 2008 like 15, 16-point margins but you have to go back to 2004 to see, you know, a three-point race in minnesota. a three-point race in michigan. these are states, there's a lot of flexibility in these states. if romney with all the money he had and republicans had, outside money, if they had targeted the states early with advertising and then with field work, too, i think i
they need to double down. because barack obama if he wins ohio, he could lose virginia and florida and still win. >> they have been doubling down. they spent all of this time in ohio and because of sandy spent more time in ohio. but if we look at early voting polling that is coming out of ohio and then florida, the president leads. is it the obama ground game that's really pushing them ahead? >> it's the obama ground game. ironically it's also the republican party. when i was in ohio and talked to voters there and called people in florida who were doing early vote there, a lot of what's motivating really record african-american early vote turnout in north carolina, in florida and in ohio is anger about the tone of the republican party on things like voting rights, on things like voter i.d., on what they see as voter suppression. so they're equal part defense of president obama and anger at the republican party. it's driving what looks to be potentially record early african-american vote which only helps the president. >> and lastly the president leading with overwhelming support when voters
, the ohio public polls show that, yes, president obama is leading. he lost a little bit of ground, but he's made that back up again. one thing i would point out, chris, is that the obama campaign is seeing very different internal polling than the republicomney campaign is s is. republicans told me earlier this week that last week, their polls showed mitt romney up four to five points in ohio. by monday, mitt romney was leading president obama in these ohio republican internal polls by just one point. they've seen his numbers go down. the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. you might say it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the most credible when it comes to numbers when you match them up against other evidence? >> one of the things that the romney campaign was suggesting, just about an hour ago on a conference call that they had, the romney pollst
, why the headline reads ohio's working class offer the key to obama's re-election. well, they're specifically talking about working white class middle class voters. you can tweet us. lendars. it's the last day you can switch your medicare part d plan. we're ready, and we can't wait to switch. what i wanted was simple: the most value for my dollar. so, now that it's time, we're making the move to a plan that really works for us. [ male announcer ] make the switch to an aarp medicarerx plan, insured through unitedhealthcare. open enrollment starts october 15th and ends december 7th. call now for a free information kit. you'll receive a summary of plan benefits and an enrollment form. discover why these part d plans are so popular with over 4 million plan members and counting. with predictable copays and plans with no annual deductible, you could start saving with your first prescription. plus, we'll be covered at like 60,000 pharmacies. so if we visit our kids in portland or go anywhere in the country, we know we're covered. [ male announcer ] the new preferred pharmacy network
. >> and obama at 50, not at 47%. >> and obama is at 50% in ohio, willie. >> one other note inside that "new york times" poll, conventional wisdom is obama would struggle with white working-class voters in ohio anyway, not in virginia. but in ohio he's even with romney among white voters who do not have a college degree. that's very important. >> and by the way, i think he's up, what, 30% in florida? >> 30. >> he's up 30 points, willie, in florida among white voters. but in ohio, he's dead even. >> dead even. florida and virginia. >> and virginia. >> 30 points. >> think about how much of the negative bain advertising took place this summer you still see it in the numbers, doesn't care about people like me. romney's numbers are still upside down. people say governor romney doesn't care about people like them. that is still the result of a summer of pummeling in ohio by the obama campaign and the democratic super pacs which worked ohio harder, knowing that the state could be a firewall, knowing that they could hold the electoral map and take ahold of ohio. they hit him harder there than anywhe anyw
. >> announcer: barack obama said he saved the auto industry but for who? ohio or china? under president obama g.m. cut 15,000 americans jobs. but they're planning to double the number of cars built in china which means 15,000 more jobs for china and now comes word that chrysler plans to start making jeeps in china. >> cenk: wait a minute! president obama saved all of those jobs in ohio and michigan and all across the country! they're turning the truth on its held. oh, jeep is not making -- they're make the jeeps in china. don't take my word for it. go to jeep. they said... let's set the record state. jeep has no intention of shifting production of its jeep models out of north america to china. in other words romney is lying! now, they also started running an ad they used to run earlier against obama which is not true. they didn't announce it to the media because they didn't want to have everybody talk about here they go again with their lies. >> announcer: if you want to know president obama's second term agenda, look at
obama maintaining a lead in swing states including florida, virginia and in ohio obama leads romney 50 to 45% among likely voters. he also has a huge advantage when it comes to early voters. among those who have already cast their ballots in the state, 60% of ohioans favor the president while only 34% voted for romney. meanwhile, team romney is pumping cash into states not expected to be competitive at this stage. the governor's campaign says it is seeing a resurgence in michigan, pennsylvania, and minnesota. the obama campaign is pouring cold water on that very theory saying it shows signs of a struggling romney campaign. quote, romney campaign desperate. putting up ads in pennsylvania and minnesota, prove he's struggling to find a new path to 270. that prompted the romney campaign to respond with a tweet of its own, spokesman ryan williams, quote, nervous. obama campaign says minnesota and pennsylvania aren't battlegrounds but running more than 1.1 million in ads there. the baaing and forth on twitter, ben. who to believe. i'll say this. minnesota is a blue state that bill clinton di
focused on today. >> nate silver predicts as of tonight, by the way, that president obama will win ohio and his chance of winning the presidency still very high. but the -- karen, i spoke to a former fema official earlier in the program and just asked him in budget terms what about a 40% cut in the fema budget, which would be the ryan plan, or what about some variation on that? call it 20%, call it 10%. what would it do in a situation like this? obviously he said it would be absolutely disastrous to their ability to respond to disasters. >> well, of course, it would be. i mean, look at what's happened. just suppose the last five or six years we've had these kinds of massive disasters where fema has been needed to come in. the federal government has been needed to come in almost once every year. so when we have these conversations and these political fights, and that's really, frankly, what i think is a little shameful about the event romney did today. it's fine to say, people, it's in our human nature, we want to get out there and kind of help. i wish he would have directed people to th
, llevÓ una ligera ventaja. >>> uno de ellos ohio. donde obama le gana a romney 48% contra 46% segÚn los sondeos. . >>> el enfoque de la campaÑa, y subrayÓ la palabra campaÑa es seguir mÓvil zaÑd a los votantes claves para asegurar que nuestra base salga a votar el presidente volverÁ a hacer campaÑa por los estados claves maÑana. >>> hoy seguÍa recorriendo los lugares donde estuvo sandy en nueva jersey y le preocupa la posibilidad de ten tener suministro elÉctrico. >>> y debido al huracÁn sandy la ejemplos no vaya a votar los votos de la gente que no vaya votar, le puedent 1200 perr en la sumatoria final. >>> a 3 dÍas de las elecciones la economÍa regresa como el tema principal para los electores. con lo que el reporte oficial del desempleo este viernes, pudiera convertirse en el mÁs anticipado de la contienda. en miami, angie sandoval, telemundo. >>> si quieres recibir resultados el dÍa de las elecciones en su telÉfono celular, solo tiene que enviarnos un mensaje de texto con la palabra alerta. la patrulla fronteriza difundiÓ fotos de un vehÍculo donde 2 presuntos indo
. florida, 48-47 for obama. ohio, 50-45 for obama. and finally virginia, 49-47 for obama. these three states very, very close. looking at the numbers, what do they tell you? >> reporter: they tell me, brooke, they're fascinating, in particular florida and virginia. these are the big three swing states. that's what we have been going through on the battleground bus tour. florida, virginia, ohio. mitt romney had real momentum coming out first debate. he had gotten a sizable or comfortable narrow, but narrow lead in florida, virginia, that seems to have dissipated where the two polls you mentioned have obama narrowly up and ohio has always been president obama's firewall. no republican has won the white house without winning ohio. that leaves something sizable good for chicago. there is so much noise around the polls now, the focus is on early voting and the ground game. it is no substitute for actual votes. and that's what folks of both campaigns right now. >> john avalon in the battleground bus tour in ohio. thank you. we'll shift the focus back to the aftermath, the special coverage here in
. >> i can tell you, we pulled ohio last week. and i looked at the two polls that had obama plus 4. i don't think obama plus four is the right number in ohio and here is why. >> bill: what was your number by the way? >> we had it tied. 47, 47. suffolk listed all the candidates on the ballots. a couple of things of on those polls that i noticed. number one cuyahoga county was weighted at 13%. the truth about cuyahoga county from 2004 to 2008 the total votes cast in ohio went up 100,000 if you add up all the candidates but in cuyahoga county, between 2004 and 2008 which was a big year for barack obama, cuyahoga county casted less ballots in the election in 2008 than 2004. the relative strength of cuyahoga has dropped to 11% north 13%. >> bill: that's very favorable to barack obama. that's the cleveland area. so, if they are weighting that in a heavy way. >> at 13% instead of 11%. >> bill: it's reality that the vote is dropping there. it's going to be better for romney. >> true. >> bill: do you trust rasmussen, larry? you are pretty outspoken about these polls. remember, scott was on it the
contienda final. >>> el presidente obama tiene una pequeÑa ventaja en virginia igual que ohio, pero se consideran estadÍsticamente empatados, se suspendieron encuestas en los estados mÁs afectados, hoy el presidente visitÓ nueva jersey, y maÑana estarÁ en wisconsin. >>> sandy le da la importancia de mostrar el liderazgo. >>> mitt romney defendiÓ ciertas regulaciones, y prometiÓ revisar las que maten el espÍritu empresarial. y cree que fima juega un papel fundamental para responder a desastres. >>> en la regiÓn metropolitana, hoy se volvieron a abrir los sitios de votaciÓn temprana, tambiÉn en maryland, donde se extendieron hasta las 9 de la noche. pero que sucederÁ en nueva york, connectic connecticut, que estÁn inundados. fima asiste a los estados para que pueda restablecer la electricidad. >>> estamos esperando apoyarlos incluyendo la apertura de escuelas o transferencias de estaciÓn de votacion. >>> esta semana recibimos decenas de fotos y videos de sandy por medio de tu cÁmara, una llega desde atlantic city. >>> miguel Ángel enviÓ esta foto de nueva york en la que
this radio commercial. >> barack obama says he saved the auto industry, but for who? ohio or china? under president obama, gm cut 15,000 american jobs. but they are planning to double the number of cars built in china, which means 15,000 more jobs for china. and now comes word that chrysler plans to start making jeeps in, you guessed it, china. >> romney's campaign is running it in toledo, ohio. this spot is even more dishonest than the tv ad. not only does it double down on the jeep lie but it suggests the auto loan didn't save the auto industry. well, general motors, the general motors, responded to the ad today saying "at this stage, we're looking at a hubble telescope-length distances between campaign ads and reality. gm's creating jobs in the united states and repatriating profits back to this country should be a source of bipartisan pride." these ads also had jeep employees scared about losing their jobs. so chrysler's ceo felt the need to put the -- to set the record straight. he pointed out, mitt romney's lie for the second time. in an e-mail to employees he wrote "jeep assembly l
, nevada. ohio fewer dems voted in ohio compared to 2008. 30,000 more republicans have voted. if obama had that lead with mccain and long at 2008, but only led by three points with likely voters romney leads the likely voters by five points. he won bison overall. if you look at the same panorama, it's all over. >> bob: in reality, you talk about the final vote in 2008 versus a week left to go to vote. people who vote early. you have to separate absenteeism from early voting. two separate things. people who vote early are senior citizens and they normally do. >> andrea: who leads with senior citizens? mitt romney leads. >> bob: right. >> andrea: independent and women. 3-point turnout advantage this time around swayed ten points to -- >> bob: you are taking something on election day when they did the count and doing seven things out. >> andrea: same exact date. 'canes is a political roundup, can we get to eric? >> eric: obama campaign, my opinion is in shambles. look what david axelrod had to do this morning. >> i will come on morning jo and shave off my mustache for 440 year if we lose any
times" poll shows president obama maintaining a five point edge in ohio but in the swing states of florida and virginia his lead is shrinking. the race is a dead heat. mitt romney and president obama locked in a statistical tie. sandy up ended the race. >> president obama was knocked off the campaign trail by the storm, cancelling an appearance today in the critical swing state of ohio. on tuesday he visited the red cross headquarters in washington. >> my message to the federal government, no bureaucracy, no red tape, get resources where they are needed as fast as possible as hard as possible and for the duration. >> the president was replaced on the stump by a former commander-in-chief bill clinton. >> obama is far more likely to lift the middle class and give the poor a chance to work their way into it. >> president clinton appeared at a rally in minnesota. recent polls showed president obama's lead is shrinking. clinton made a stop in colorado another state that candidates are fighting hard to win. >> and your generosity this morning touches my heart. >> mitt romney took a br
on monday and a dispatch poll out of ohio showing it tied up in ohio. team obama tells us you cannot believe these numbers. this is a manipulation by the folks that are on team romney to make us think these states are in play when in fact they are not. how are we to know the truth? >> we are not to know the truth until tuesday, here is the real truth, there is plenty of panic in chicago and boston, both sides here, this is total white knuckle time down to the end, it's what i live for, it's these moments when both campaigns are nervous about what is going on, that makes for good politics. megyn: that's what -- those of us who cover the race, that's when we win. >> exactly. megyn: all right, chris, thank you. >> you bet. megyn: the transit system that brings workers in and out of new york city moves more than 9 million passengers a day, 9 million. and it may be weeks until this is fully restored. we'll show you what that could mean for your bottom line just ahead. plus, the debate over one of the most offensive ads of the campaign season just ahead. >> if your voter suppression throughout thi
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 165 (some duplicates have been removed)